Dear readers — eight wards in Wigan, right at the far western edge of Greater Manchester, suddenly hold the keys to the country's future. At first glance this seat's demographics feel relatively uniform, and it's hard to make out divides at the ward level. To try and get to the bottom of a constituency at the centre of a political firestorm, our cartographer Josh Housden spent days combining census data, local election results and current polling estimates. The result is a map of Makerfield's estimated voting intentions, one that splits the seat into a bitty jigsaw of red and blue. But are Josh's estimates correct? We went door knocking across the constituency to find out.
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